PCI 2026 Market and Construction Forecast-Handout- PCI 2026 Market Forecast Webinar

Handout- PCI 2026 Market Forecast Webinar

Pdf Summary

The “PCI Construction Forecast” presentation (Feb. 19, 2026; data as of March 2025, Dodge Q2-25) explains how precast producers should use construction-start data to understand trends, size market opportunity, calculate market share, and set strategy. It introduces a market-share method: estimate “precast potential” by multiplying total construction in a segment by a relative market (RM) factor (share of scope suitable for precast), then divide a company’s sales by that potential to determine share and competitive position. Strategy guidance is tied to share bands: under 5% (“not on the radar”) focuses on awareness/value proposition; 5–20% is a “player” that should leverage momentum; 20%+ implies leadership requiring defense and innovation—especially if forecasts indicate contraction.<br /><br />Nationally, total construction is forecast to grow through 2029 but at slower rates than prior forecasts, reflecting softening economic signals; ~17% of states are projected to contract over four years. Dodge’s national outlook shows continued expansion in total construction with moderating growth. Segment forecasts highlight strong growth in data centers, healthcare, office, hotels, warehouses, and K‑12, while multifamily/apartments and some categories (e.g., two-family, sewer) are projected to decline.<br /><br />PCI’s national precast potential for 2026–2029 totals about $394B, with the largest opportunities in K‑12 (~$66B), bridges (~$63B), parking (~$39B), and apartments (~$34B). Data centers remain a major growth story with ~ $30B precast potential, while dormitories show sharp increases but smaller absolute potential (~$5B). <br /><br />Surveyed 2024 precast sales were ~$7.29B, implying only ~8% penetration of overall precast-capable market potential. Sales declined in 7 of 12 PCI regions in 2024 vs. 2023, and segment market-share results vary widely by region. The presentation concludes that significant opportunity remains if producers target the right segments and align strategy to their market position.

Keywords

PCI Construction Forecast

precast concrete market

construction-start data

market share analysis

precast potential (RM factor)

Dodge Data & Analytics Q2-25

2026–2029 construction outlook

high-growth segments (data centers, K-12, healthcare)

regional precast sales trends

competitive strategy by share bands